Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 2.401252e-01 3.275238e-01 0.430388 0.558327 0.711105 0.885693 1.098223
2026-01-04 1.249513e-01 2.234705e-01 0.360214 0.554164 0.812458 1.135305 1.559631
2026-01-11 5.926363e-02 1.473587e-01 0.294251 0.531349 0.879458 1.348136 2.002093
2026-01-18 2.653055e-02 9.874733e-02 0.245976 0.515241 0.946193 1.563263 2.465872
2026-01-25 1.172861e-02 7.026311e-02 0.217079 0.517957 1.035746 1.814439 2.995389
2026-02-01 3.731266e-03 4.554219e-02 0.181229 0.496147 1.079459 1.999249 3.442086
2026-02-08 1.345860e-03 3.517276e-02 0.171702 0.519651 1.198367 2.303390 4.075703
2026-02-15 2.522338e-04 2.470049e-02 0.154212 0.520802 1.276135 2.546841 4.630706
2026-02-22 4.926858e-05 2.096880e-02 0.155423 0.563004 1.431887 2.922862 5.400479
2026-03-01 7.998647e-07 1.650035e-02 0.150219 0.588169 1.556920 3.254587 6.114986
2026-03-08 NaN 1.171638e-02 0.138503 0.593413 1.642508 3.524062 6.742309
2026-03-15 NaN 7.390063e-03 0.122398 0.581674 1.691279 3.732134 7.279489
2026-03-22 NaN 5.080829e-03 0.114617 0.592465 1.790039 4.035777 7.987169
2026-03-29 NaN 3.144620e-03 0.104587 0.593297 1.867358 4.305749 8.650873
2026-04-05 NaN 1.489108e-03 0.089496 0.571947 1.892712 4.483598 9.170807
2026-04-12 NaN 6.294721e-04 0.077553 0.556289 1.928106 4.680194 9.726985
2026-04-19 NaN 2.859328e-04 0.071363 0.559838 2.008365 4.962629 10.433732
2026-04-26 NaN 5.655286e-05 0.060082 0.537127 2.021758 5.119229 10.932929
2026-05-03 NaN 2.395976e-05 0.059626 0.562162 2.156271 5.511622 11.841884
2026-05-10 NaN 2.142259e-06 0.054568 0.563472 2.230158 5.789720 12.562214
2026-05-17 NaN 1.173469e-06 0.057945 0.608118 2.420053 6.299604 13.691673
2026-05-24 NaN 5.097847e-08 0.057809 0.634712 2.564205 6.724181 14.682237
2026-05-31 NaN NaN 0.053960 0.640260 2.652831 7.042363 15.495290